Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.004391 0.004939 0.005560 0.006320 0.007235 0.008313 0.009696
2026-02-08 0.003510 0.004168 0.004973 0.006051 0.007490 0.009396 0.012204
2026-02-15 0.003132 0.003860 0.004804 0.006155 0.008109 0.010960 0.015705
2026-02-22 0.002792 0.003533 0.004532 0.006033 0.008343 0.011982 0.018706
2026-03-01 0.002512 0.003244 0.004261 0.005849 0.008418 0.012741 0.021508
2026-03-08 0.002302 0.003025 0.004056 0.005722 0.008542 0.013586 0.024794
2026-03-15 0.002200 0.002944 0.004040 0.005878 0.009156 0.015465 0.031196
2026-03-22 0.002127 0.002898 0.004066 0.006101 0.009928 0.017880 0.040461
2026-03-29 0.002071 0.002872 0.004117 0.006369 0.010836 0.020907 0.054042
2026-04-05 0.001956 0.002742 0.003988 0.006296 0.011045 0.022385 0.064077
2026-04-12 0.001854 0.002626 0.003868 0.006225 0.011241 0.023903 0.076090
2026-04-19 0.001743 0.002487 0.003699 0.006038 0.011148 0.024616 0.085586
2026-04-26 0.001621 0.002328 0.003494 0.005778 0.010893 0.024944 0.094863
2026-05-03 0.001512 0.002186 0.003309 0.005541 0.010661 0.025310 0.105726
2026-05-10 0.001464 0.002141 0.003288 0.005633 0.011245 0.028578 0.144565
2026-05-17 0.001392 0.002050 0.003179 0.005526 0.011303 0.030100 0.175855
2026-05-24 0.001319 0.001952 0.003050 0.005363 0.011185 0.030941 0.205086
2026-05-31 0.001258 0.001873 0.002949 0.005250 0.011183 0.032274 0.248814
2026-06-07 0.001234 0.001856 0.002962 0.005389 0.011919 0.037223 0.394106
2026-06-14 0.001218 0.001851 0.002999 0.005586 0.012888 0.044170 0.735355
2026-06-21 0.001206 0.001854 0.003049 0.005822 0.014059 0.053588 1.758775
2026-06-28 0.001164 0.001798 0.002979 0.005758 0.014230 0.057401 3.025434
2026-07-05 0.001124 0.001745 0.002912 0.005695 0.014394 0.061449 5.929007